One of the complaints many librarians have is that they don’t have time to do research or read research articles. This is certainly understandable given their busy work schedule. I once joked with them that we need a robot that could automatically scan the published research and identify the articles relevant and useful to us. Now I think maybe in a small way I can function like such a robot. As an educator and researcher, I read journal articles on a regular basis – why don’t I pick out the interesting ones and share them on this blog?
In Journal of Academic Librarianship (Volume 38, Issue 1), I read an article titled “Futuring, Strategic Planning and Shared Awareness: An Ohio University Libraries’ Case Study”, which sought to create a shared awareness of possible library futures and guide Ohio University’s strategic thinking. Librarians and staff at Ohio University Library were presented with a series of future scenarios, and for each scenario, they were asked two questions: first, to objectively rank the probability of the scenario occurring from “unlikely” to “very likely”; and second, to rank the impact that the scenario will have on the library from “no impact” to “high impact.”
As a result, two possible, interrelated, futures that were ranked “high-impact” and “highly likely” by the librarians and staff. First was the “Increasing Threat of Cyberwar, Cybercrime and Cyberterrorism”, and the second was “Out-of-Business”. It’s interesting to see that cyber security has become a top concern for librarians. A new faculty member in the area of cyber security will be joining us at SLIS SJSU, and I will be sure to talk to her about this article and hear her ideas about data security in libraries.
As for the “out-of-business” scenario, I can’t say I was surprised. A couple of weeks ago, when I had lunch with my librarian friends from King Library, we talked about the transformative nature of the LIS field and how librarians will be impacted. The increasing awareness of this issue sends a signal to us educators that we need to prepare future LIS professionals with the skill sets to function well in the evolving information environment, particularly the non-traditional settings.
These two scenarios, taken together, represent a rather bleak view of the future. It surely gives us a lot to think about. I don’t think anyone will have any solutions soon, but it is important to be proactive, and recognize and understand the threats in the future. If more libraries could engage in such a discussion of the future, we would be one step closer to finding out how to respond when future becomes present.